Australia vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
0 - 1
AUS
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
IND
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
2 - 1
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 0
CHN
15%
21%
63%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
QAT
3 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 1
KSA
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 1
JOR
21%
24%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |