Australia vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
0 - 1
AUS
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
IND
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 2
AUS
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PSE
0 - 1
AUS
10%
20%
71%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
3 - 1
IDN
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
VNM
0 - 1
IDN
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 3
IRQ
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 5
IRN
10%
20%
70%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 2
LBY
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |