Australia vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
18.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.1%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.7%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
7.3%
1.3%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
AUS
51%
25%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 2
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BGD
2 - 1
MDV
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MDV
1 - 1
BGD
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
AFG
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BGD
0 - 0
AFG
19%
21%
59%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
KWT
1 - 0
BGD
90%
8%
2%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | 0 |