Argentina vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2018 |
ARG
4 - 0
HTI
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
6 - 1
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ARG
2 - 4
NGA
82%
14%
4%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 1
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
GHA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
ISL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MEX
3 - 0
ISL
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IDN
1 - 4
ISL
11%
18%
71%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |