Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
ARG
0 - 0
LTU
92%
6%
1%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
USA
1 - 0
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 2
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
NED
1 - 1
ARG
53%
24%
23%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
ARG
1 - 0
MEX
63%
22%
15%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1999 |
VEN
3 - 2
ECU
23%
26%
52%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 2
ECU
38%
29%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ECU
3 - 1
GTM
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRN
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |