Argentina vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
BOL
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
ARG
4 - 0
ALB
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
POL
2 - 1
ARG
23%
26%
51%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
NGA
4 - 1
ARG
19%
25%
56%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
CRC
33%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
CRC
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
4 - 1
CRC
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
CRC
1 - 1
SLV
77%
15%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |