Germany vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
SRB
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
GER
2 - 2
BLR
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
24%
25%
51%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
AUT
0 - 3
GER
18%
24%
59%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
GER
0 - 0
WAL
82%
12%
5%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
DEN
39%
27%
34%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 1
POL
13%
23%
64%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
POL
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POL
0 - 3
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | +1 |