Albania vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
CZE
1 - 1
ALB
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
FRO
1 - 3
ALB
20%
25%
56%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
MDA
76%
18%
7%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
ALB
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 0
ARM
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
POL
2 - 0
FRO
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MDA
3 - 2
POL
6%
17%
77%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
GER
18%
20%
62%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
ALB
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CZE
3 - 1
POL
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |