FK Sabail vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
7º
36
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 3
SEB
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 1
QAR
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 3
SEB
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
23%
28%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SEB
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 2
ARA
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
SUM
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
41%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |