Sport Sébaco vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
9º
9º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
DIR
6 - 0
CDS
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 3
WAL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
CDS
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDS
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
4 - 1
ORM
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 2
MFC
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
JAP
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
DIR
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
UNA
3 - 2
MFC
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |