Sport Sébaco vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
9º
8º
25
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
CDS
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
WAL
27%
27%
47%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
CDS
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 5
MAN
43%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 0
JAP
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 1
MFC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
DIR
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
MFC
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |