Sport Sébaco vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
9º
9º
25
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
CDS
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDS
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
4 - 1
ORM
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 1
JAP
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
UNA
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
UNA
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 0
WAL
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
MFC
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
WAL
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |