MLS Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seattle Sounders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 0
SES
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
DAL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SES
0 - 0
RSL
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
SES
3 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RSL
0 - 0
VAN
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
RSL
0 - 0
CSH
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SES
0 - 0
RSL
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 2
RSL
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 4
RSL
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |