SC Freiburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 0
SCF
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
STU
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
HOF
1 - 4
SCF
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
BVB
5 - 1
SCF
66%
19%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 2
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
M05
2 - 0
HOF
23%
23%
55%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
M05
0 - 1
EIN
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SGF
2 - 1
M05
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
RTV
3 - 1
M05
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
M05
1 - 0
RTV
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |