Épinal vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 0
AVR
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NÎM
1 - 3
SPI
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 2
LMU
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
DIJ
4 - 1
SPI
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 1
FCR
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
TRO
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
CAE
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PFC
2 - 2
TRO
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
TRO
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |