Épinal vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
14º
1º
55
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 0
FUR
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPI
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 1
OLY
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 4
BOB
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 1
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 1
FCS
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FUR
0 - 0
FLE
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 0
STG
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 0
LUS
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SML
0 - 2
FLE
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |