Sarmiento vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
SAR
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
TIG
0 - 0
SAR
50%
27%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
SAR
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
GOD
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NOB
0 - 1
SAR
51%
28%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
DYJ
3 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GOD
2 - 0
DYJ
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
DYJ
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NOB
3 - 0
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |