Sarmiento vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
ARG
0 - 0
SAR
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
DYJ
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 3
SAR
60%
22%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
SLO
34%
27%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
SAR
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
ATT
75%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 0
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 2
RIV
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |