Sarmiento vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 0
ATT
20%
26%
55%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
DYJ
4 - 2
SAR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 0
CEN
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RAC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
ALD
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
GLP
1 - 1
RIV
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
RIV
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
VEL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
ATM
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |