Sarmiento vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 0
SAR
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
CCS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 1
SAR
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
BOC
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
TIG
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
PLA
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOD
0 - 0
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
NOB
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
BEL
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
BEL
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |