Sarmiento vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAR
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SMA
5 - 1
SAR
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 0
SMA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 4
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
BRO
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 1
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 2
RAF
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
RAF
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |