Sarmiento II vs Estudiantes La Plata II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 0
SAR
57%
23%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
CAU
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
BRC
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
LAN
30%
25%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
PLA
49%
25%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
GOC
1 - 0
EST
19%
25%
57%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
EST
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
NOB
26%
25%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |