Qualif. Champions 2da Ronda Final
Global 0-3
Sarajevo vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
RIJ
3 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
SPL
0 - 1
SAR
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 3
SAR
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
LPO
3 - 1
WAR
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
LPO
0 - 0
WIS
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
GÓR
1 - 6
LPO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 0
POG
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 2
LPO
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |