Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Semi-finals
Global 5-3
São Paulo U17 vs Flamengo U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 3
SPA
67%
18%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
INT
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
INT
1 - 1
SPA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 3
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 3
FOR
87%
8%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 3
SPA
67%
18%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
FLA
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 3
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
5 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |