São Paulo vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
FLA
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
FLA
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
CEA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |