São Paulo vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PPE
1 - 2
SAO
33%
27%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SAO
4 - 0
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SLO
3 - 1
HUR
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
SLO
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
COR
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
SMA
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
DYJ
1 - 2
SLO
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |