São Paulo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
SAO
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LON
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRE
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOZ
0 - 2
PAR
15%
21%
63%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |