São Paulo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 4
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
COR
11%
25%
64%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
AGU
83%
14%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |