São Paulo vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 4
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAO
55%
21%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
COR
0 - 5
ATP
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 2
COR
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |