São Paulo vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIR
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
17%
25%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
AGU
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |