Copa Gaúcha Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 4-3
São Luiz vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 3
SLU
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 0
PEL
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
15%
22%
62%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 1
JUV
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PAS
0 - 3
SLU
18%
23%
60%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 3
SLU
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ISM
2 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 0
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 0
NOV
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
PEL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |