São José vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
CAP
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 3
OES
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
TAU
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |