São José vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 2
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BER
2 - 3
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BER
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
BER
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BER
2 - 3
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |