São Bernardo FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 2
SAO
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
SAO
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
NAU
80%
15%
6%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 3
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
NAU
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
FPI
69%
17%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |