São Bernardo FC vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
BRU
41%
31%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ECS
2 - 1
SAO
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
ECS
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 0
SAO
42%
30%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAM
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 1
ITU
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 0
MIR
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |