Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 3-1
São Bernardo FC vs Azuriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
SAO
29%
33%
39%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
57%
27%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
OES
0 - 0
SAO
30%
31%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Azuriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
SAO
29%
33%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 0
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 2
SLU
45%
28%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
JUV
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |