Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Santos Laguna vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 3
SAN
41%
24%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAZ
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
AME
3 - 3
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
QRO
3 - 3
SAN
22%
25%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 3
SAN
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 0
JUA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 1
QRO
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 1
TOL
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |