Santos FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
73%
18%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 3
SAN
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
SFE
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 0
MEL
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 0
SPC
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
STR
5 - 1
SPC
68%
17%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |