Santos FC vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
ZEN
4 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
ADS
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
11%
23%
66%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
3 - 3
SAO
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |