Santos FC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
77%
17%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 0
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |