Santos FC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 4
SHA
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
PPE
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
MIR
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 3
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |