Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-0
Santos FC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATM
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BLO
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
BOT
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 1
SAO
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |