Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRZ
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
SPC
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
COT
73%
18%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAH
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
PPE
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |