Santos FC vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
INT
83%
13%
5%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
POR
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
MIR
16%
24%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
8%
21%
71%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |