Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
LOS
0 - 2
SFC
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
UCV
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
SFC
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 3
AYA
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
SFC
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MUN
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
LOS
0 - 0
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
UCV
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SRP
3 - 0
COM
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
SRP
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |