Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 0-6
Santos AP vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LON
3 - 2
PEL
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |