Santo André vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
73.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
17%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
CRI
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
NOV
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIT
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |