Santo André vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
PER
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
30%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIA
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
OES
33%
30%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRB
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |