Santiago Morning vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
COL
4 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 0
HUA
43%
25%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NUB
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ACS
1 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
COB
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
OHI
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
1 - 2
UCO
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |