Santa Mónica vs Xilvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 3
SAM
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
ESP
48%
22%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
STA
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 0
SAM
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
SVE
54%
21%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
XIL
76%
14%
9%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
XIL
6 - 2
PON
22%
19%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 1
XIL
58%
21%
22%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
XIL
0 - 1
PET
47%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
XIL
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |